Have them predict their mark before you hand it back
The gap between the predicted mark and the real one is the most personalised piece of feedback you'll never have to write.
Aug 20, 2026 · 1 min read
Classroom studies of grade prediction show a consistent pattern: predictions are overconfident, and the lowest performers are the most overconfident, while high performers often undershoot (Hacker, Bol, Horgan & Rakow, 2000). That miscalibration is invisible to the student until you surface it, and surfacing it costs thirty seconds before you return the stack.
In practice
- Before returning marked work: "Write the mark you think you got, and the question you're least sure survived."
- The debrief question isn't "what did you get?" but "which way were you off, and where?" Repeated over a term, predictions tighten, and that is self-assessment being learned.
- Watch for the student who is always 20% high: they don't need more content, they need to see the rubric applied to their own work (see "Ask how sure they are").
Quick takeaway: the prediction gap is feedback the student wrote to themselves.